Stock Analysis

The Returns On Capital At Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) Don't Inspire Confidence

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NasdaqGS:AMZN
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Amazon.com, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.054 = US$18b ÷ (US$478b - US$148b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

Therefore, Amazon.com has an ROCE of 5.4%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Multiline Retail industry average of 12%.

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roce
NasdaqGS:AMZN Return on Capital Employed August 22nd 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Amazon.com compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Amazon.com.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

In terms of Amazon.com's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 8.9%, but since then they've fallen to 5.4%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

The Bottom Line On Amazon.com's ROCE

While returns have fallen for Amazon.com in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 40% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. Therefore we'd recommend looking further into this stock to confirm if it has the makings of a good investment.

If you're still interested in Amazon.com it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.

While Amazon.com isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

What are the risks and opportunities for Amazon.com?

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products and subscriptions through online and physical stores in North America and internationally.

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Rewards

  • Trading at 21.8% below our estimate of its fair value

  • Earnings are forecast to grow 28.03% per year

  • Earnings have grown 3.4% per year over the past 5 years

Risks

No risks detected for AMZN from our risks checks.

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