Tesla Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Tesla is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 22.3% and 17.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 20.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 22% in 3 years.
Key information
22.3%
Earnings growth rate
20.3%
EPS growth rate
| Auto earnings growth | 19.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | 17.7% |
| Future return on equity | 22.0% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 30 Oct 2023 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Why Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Oct 30
Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA)
Sep 27Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 24% Below Its Share Price
Aug 15Is Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) Using Too Much Debt?
Aug 02Here's Why We Think Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) Is Well Worth Watching
Jul 16We Like Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) Returns And Here's How They're Trending
Jun 26Beyond Meat, Tesla and British American Tobacco: Our lukewarm take on recent earnings and news
Dec 08
Tesla: Looking For Good Q3 Show
Oct 18Tesla sold a record 83,135 China-made vehicles in September after Shanghai factory upgrade
Oct 10Quick Takes: Tesla, Twitter, Carvana & More
Oct 06Tesla: Don't Ignore These 4 Key Items In Q3 Earnings.
Oct 03The Tesla Trap is Forming Again - Here is Why Bears Might be Wrong
Sep 28Shorting Tesla: Bridging The Lofty Valuation To Economics
Sep 27Tesla reportedly denies store reshuffle in China
Sep 21Tesla Bulls Seemingly In Control
Sep 13Tesla further improves delivery turnaround time in China for Model 3, Model Ys
Sep 07How Much Does FSD Impact Tesla's Valuation?
Aug 22Tesla, YouTube, And The 10/10 Rule
Aug 15Tesla sells 28,217 China-made vehicles in July, down ~64% sequentially
Aug 09Tesla Q2: Wright's Law Continues
Aug 01Tesla to tap public funding for building electric-vehicle chargers in a move to allow non-Tesla drivers to use its fast chargers
Jul 25Tesla Q2: Market Never Learned Its Musk Lesson
Jul 18Tesla Q2: A Complete Mess
Jul 12Tesla: 10-K Footnotes And Bears' Arguments
Jul 04Tesla: What's The Outlook After Announced 3-For-1 Stock Split?
Jun 27Tesla: Incentives Matter
Jun 20Tesla: This Split Is Different
Jun 13Tesla Hovers Around Major Support Looking For Imminent Direction
Jun 06Tesla Breaks Above Support Distancing Itself From A Significant Drop
Jun 01Tesla: Cathie Wood Conviction Fading
May 23Where is the Intrinsic Value Support for Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA)
May 19Tesla: Production To Global EV Stock Doubled In 5 Years
May 16Tesla: When ESG Narratives Fail
May 09Insider Weekends: Musk Sells $8.52 Billion Of Tesla To Fund Twitter Purchase
May 02Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 147,401 | 18,475 | 14,806 | 23,663 | 33 |
| 12/31/2024 | 120,186 | 12,745 | 9,349 | 17,206 | 43 |
| 12/31/2023 | 97,343 | 9,119 | 4,590 | 14,245 | 38 |
| 9/30/2023 | 95,924 | 10,791 | 3,714 | 12,164 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 94,028 | 12,230 | 6,162 | 13,956 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 86,035 | 11,788 | 5,778 | 13,242 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 81,462 | 12,583 | 7,552 | 14,724 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 74,863 | 11,187 | 8,903 | 16,031 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 67,166 | 9,513 | 6,928 | 14,078 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 62,190 | 8,399 | 6,916 | 13,851 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 53,823 | 5,524 | 4,983 | 11,497 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 46,848 | 3,468 | 4,062 | 9,931 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 41,862 | 2,150 | 4,114 | 9,184 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 35,940 | 1,112 | 3,903 | 8,024 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 31,536 | 690 | 2,701 | 5,943 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 28,176 | 525 | 1,827 | 4,349 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 25,708 | 368 | 799 | 2,705 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 26,022 | -144 | 992 | 2,605 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 24,578 | -870 | 968 | 2,405 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 24,420 | -835 | 873 | 2,215 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 24,941 | -667 | 1,359 | 2,850 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 22,593 | -976 | -39 | 1,856 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 21,461 | -976 | -221 | 2,098 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 17,523 | -1,791 | -1,498 | 1,373 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 13,684 | -2,722 | -3,875 | -319 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 12,471 | -2,341 | -4,427 | -389 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 11,759 | -1,962 | -4,142 | -61 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 10,755 | -1,407 | -4,875 | -1,019 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 10,069 | -766 | N/A | -295 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 8,549 | -723 | N/A | 56 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 7,000 | -675 | N/A | -124 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,930 | -874 | N/A | 295 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 4,568 | -1,126 | N/A | -332 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 4,253 | -1,017 | N/A | -642 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 4,046 | -889 | N/A | -524 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 3,788 | -676 | N/A | -581 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,703 | -521 | N/A | -406 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 3,518 | -398 | N/A | -248 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 3,198 | -294 | N/A | -57 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 2,857 | -203 | N/A | 163 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 2,436 | -166 | N/A | 293 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 2,072 | -135 | N/A | 259 | N/A |
| 12/31/2013 | 2,013 | -74 | N/A | 265 | N/A |
| 9/30/2013 | 1,705 | -148 | N/A | 93 | N/A |
| 6/30/2013 | 1,323 | -220 | N/A | -110 | N/A |
| 3/31/2013 | 945 | -295 | N/A | -139 | N/A |
| 12/31/2012 | 413 | -396 | N/A | -264 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: TSLA's forecast earnings growth (22.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.2%).
Earnings vs Market: TSLA's earnings (22.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.7% per year).
High Growth Earnings: TSLA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: TSLA's revenue (17.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (7.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: TSLA's revenue (17.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: TSLA's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (22%)